Yesterday's tips, won and lost

Yesterday's football tips for Friday 13 November: what won, what lost and why

This page is the receipt. Every tip we published for Friday 13 November is listed with its final score and marked won or lost on the 90-minute result – extra time and penalties do not count, postponed games are void. We keep this page as plain as possible, because a tipster's record is only worth something if the losers stay on it.

How to read a day of results

A single day tells you very little. A 70% tip loses three times in ten, so a day with ten strong tips and four losers is unlucky, not broken – and a day with ten out of ten is lucky, not proof of genius. The useful questions are about patterns: is one market losing day after day? Is one league consistently harder than we rate it? The prediction archive answers those across weeks and months.

Look at the losers closely

• Lost by one goal? Over 2.5 tips that finished 2–0 or BTTS tips that finished 1–0 are the nature of goals markets – close calls fall both ways.
• Upset results? Check the chance we gave the tip. A 55% tip losing is normal; an 85% tip losing should be rare.
• Red cards and late goals? No number can see those coming, which is why every tip carries a probability rather than a promise.

What the scores teach us

Results feed straight back into the team ratings, so yesterday's surprises shape tomorrow's numbers. A side that keeps beating its rating will see its rating rise; a favourite that keeps stumbling will be priced more carefully. That is how the tips stay current through a season without anyone guessing.

Use yesterday to improve today

If you followed yesterday's tips, log your own bets in the bankroll tracker and compare your results with ours. If you played the community game, your points for Friday 13 November are already on the weekly table. Then move on: today's board is a fresh set of chances, and a loss yesterday is never a reason to stake more today. 18+.

Worked example: judging a bad day fairly

Suppose yesterday had twelve tips with an average chance of 68%, and only six won. That feels like a disaster, but the expected number of winners was 12 × 0.68 = 8.2, and finishing two below expectation happens regularly by chance. Now suppose the six losers were all over 2.5 tips in one league that finished 1–0 or 0–0. That is a pattern worth noting – perhaps a weather problem, perhaps a league becoming tighter – and worth checking against the league statistics before backing the same market there again.

What to do with yesterday's results

• Compare the number of winners with the number you would expect from the chances.
• Look for patterns by market and league, not individual results.
• Update your own log, then close the page – today's tips start from zero.

Quick answers

Can a tip be re-graded later? Only if the official score is corrected – for example a goal later credited differently by the league. The change is shown in the open; tips are never quietly removed.

Why do some matches show as void? Postponed or abandoned games are void, so they count neither as wins nor as losses.