League statistics
Each competition's scoring rate and result split this season – the prior every match projection starts from. Select a league for team-level numbers and the next fixtures' goal outlook.
| # | League | Games | Goals/g | O2.5 | BTTS | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eredivisie Netherlands | 108 | 3.89 | 72% | 70% | 28% |
| 2 | Bundesliga Germany | 81 | 3.48 | 70% | 60% | 21% |
| 3 | Champions League Europe | 162 | 3.34 | 62% | 57% | 19% |
| 4 | MLS USA | 462 | 3.27 | 65% | 64% | 26% |
| 5 | Serie A Italy | 110 | 3.11 | 60% | 58% | 17% |
| 6 | Saudi Pro League Saudi Arabia | 104 | 3.03 | 57% | 54% | 26% |
| 7 | Süper Lig Turkey | 99 | 3.01 | 60% | 45% | 16% |
| 8 | Ligue 1 France | 90 | 2.96 | 57% | 59% | 22% |
| 9 | Championship England | 180 | 2.96 | 62% | 62% | 26% |
| 10 | La Liga Spain | 119 | 2.89 | 55% | 55% | 26% |
| 11 | Scottish Premiership Scotland | 75 | 2.85 | 57% | 56% | 23% |
| 12 | Europa League Europe | 151 | 2.84 | 58% | 48% | 20% |
| 13 | Conference League Europe | 312 | 2.82 | 52% | 53% | 27% |
| 14 | Premier League England | 100 | 2.73 | 47% | 49% | 27% |
| 15 | Primeira Liga Portugal | 98 | 2.63 | 53% | 47% | 20% |
| 16 | NPFL Nigeria | 114 | 2.39 | 42% | 51% | 32% |
| 17 | Premiership South Africa | 73 | 2.33 | 37% | 47% | 34% |
| 18 | Egyptian Premier League Egypt | 80 | 2.31 | 39% | 49% | 25% |
| 19 | Kenya Premier League Kenya | 52 | 2.06 | 38% | 50% | 42% |
90-minute scores, current season. Sort by tapping a column.
League rates as a starting point
League averages are the model's prior. In a competition averaging 3.1 goals a match, a fixture needs strong evidence to be called under 2.5; in one averaging 2.3, the reverse. The same logic applies to home advantage and draw frequency, which vary widely from league to league.
Team ratings then move each fixture away from that average – see them in the xG database and in action on today's predictions. Graded results are on the track record.
League statistics: goals, BTTS and over 2.5 rates by competition
Some leagues are reliably high-scoring; others grind out 1–0s week after week. This page compares competitions by goals per match, over 2.5 rate, both-teams-to-score rate, draw rate and home win rate, so you can see at a glance which leagues suit which markets.
What each column tells you
- Goals per match: the average total. Most major leagues sit between 2.4 and 3.0.
- Over 2.5 %: how often matches reach three goals – the headline goals figure.
- BTTS %: how often both teams score.
- Draw %: how often games end level – useful for draw and double chance bets.
- Home win %: how strong home advantage really is in that competition.
Using league rates with our tips
A tip for over 2.5 in a league where 60% of games go over starts from a strong base; the same tip in a league at 40% needs a much stronger match-specific reason. Our numbers already include the league's average – that is how expected goals are scaled – but checking the rate yourself helps you understand why a tip looks the way it does.
Watch the sample size
Early in a season, a league's rates can swing wildly from week to week. By the halfway point they settle. For competitions with few teams or few matches played, treat the figures as a rough guide rather than a fact.
Turn the numbers into bets
High BTTS and over rates point towards goals markets; high draw rates point towards the draw, double chance and unders. Pair this page with the team ratings for the teams involved, then check the price on the over/under 2.5 or BTTS page. 18+.
Worked example: choosing where to bet goals
League A averages 3.1 goals with a 59% over 2.5 rate and 57% BTTS. League B averages 2.3 goals with 38% over 2.5 and 44% BTTS. A punter who wants to back overs and BTTS this weekend should start in League A, where the base rates are on their side, and save League B for unders and draws. The league average does not decide a single match, but it sets the starting point every match is measured against.
League stats checklist
- Compare the league rate with the match's expected total.
- Mind small samples early in the season.
- Use high draw rates as a nudge towards double chance and unders.
Quick answers
Are cup games included in league rates? No – league rates use league matches only.
When are the rates most reliable? From about the halfway point of a season, when samples are large enough.
Why do league rates change between seasons? New coaches, promoted teams and rule changes all shift how a league plays.
What is a high over 2.5 rate? Anything above about 55% is high; below 45% is low.
Where are team-level stats? On each team's page and in the team ratings.
Do home and away rates differ much? In some leagues a great deal. Team pages show each side's home and away figures separately.
Frequently asked questions
Which league has the highest scoring rate?
Currently the Eredivisie, at 3.89 goals per match with 72% of games over 2.5.
Which league has the fewest goals?
The Kenya Premier League: 2.06 per match, 38% over 2.5.
When is the data refreshed?
Four times a day, using 90-minute scores – the same scores we grade picks on.