Nigeria · 2027/28

NPFL stats

Team-level rates for the current NPFL season, from 90-minute scores. Upcoming fixtures and their probabilities are on the NPFL hub.

Tips by Ade Ola · Winning Arena analystModel refreshed 14 Nov 2026, 04:34 WAT · Every pick graded in the prediction archive

114Matches

2.39Goals per game

69%Over 1.5

42%Over 2.5

25%Over 3.5

51%Both teams score

58%Home wins

32%Draws

10%Away wins

11%0–0

Goal outlook: next NPFL fixtures

Day	Match	Avg goals	O2.5	BTTS	Our pick
Wed 16:00	Ranchers Bees v Doma United	2.6	50%	60%	Under 3.5 goals
Sun 16:00	Enyimba v Ikorodu City	2.5	46%	46%	Under 3.5 goals
Sun 16:00	Kano Pillars v Ranchers Bees	2.3	43%	57%	Under 3.5 goals
Sun 16:00	Inter Lagos v Abia Warriors	2.5	41%	50%	Under 3.5 goals
Tue 16:00	Plateau United v Kun Khalifat FC	2.8	41%	45%	Over 1.5 goals
Sat 16:00	Doma United v Barau FC	2.4	39%	52%	Over 1.5 goals
Sun 16:00	Katsina United v Nasarawa United	2.3	38%	54%	Under 3.5 goals
Sun 16:00	Niger Tornadoes v Enugu Rangers	2.0	36%	45%	Under 3.5 goals
Sun 16:00	Kwara United v Rivers United	2.1	32%	45%	Under 3.5 goals
Sun 16:00	Warri Wolves v Sporting Lagos	2.1	32%	45%	Under 3.5 goals

Season rates of both teams averaged; the model pick adds ratings, home advantage and market prices.

NPFL top fives

Highest-scoring games

Over 2.5 rate

BTTS rate

Draw rate

Clean-sheet rate

Failed to score

All NPFL teams

#	Team	P	Scored/g	Conceded/g	O2.5	BTTS	Draws	Clean sheets	Failed to score	O2.5 home	O2.5 away
1	Abia Warriors	10	1.20	1.50	50%	50%	40%	30%	30%	60%	40%
2	Barau FC	12	1.17	0.83	33%	50%	58%	50%	33%	50%	17%
3	Bendel Insurance	13	1.62	1.46	85%	77%	0%	0%	23%	100%	71%
4	Doma United	11	1.36	1.36	45%	55%	36%	36%	9%	33%	60%
5	Enugu Rangers	11	1.55	0.91	36%	55%	27%	36%	9%	33%	40%
6	Enyimba	12	1.00	1.33	33%	33%	17%	33%	50%	33%	33%
7	Ikorodu City	12	1.42	1.25	58%	58%	50%	33%	25%	50%	67%
8	Inter Lagos	12	0.67	1.58	33%	50%	33%	8%	42%	17%	50%
9	Kano Pillars	12	1.25	1.00	33%	50%	58%	42%	33%	33%	33%
10	Katsina United	12	1.25	1.33	42%	67%	42%	8%	25%	67%	17%
11	Kun Khalifat FC	11	0.91	1.55	27%	36%	27%	36%	36%	17%	40%
12	Kwara United	12	1.00	1.17	42%	50%	25%	8%	42%	83%	0%
13	Nasarawa United	12	1.17	0.92	33%	42%	17%	50%	17%	17%	50%
14	Niger Tornadoes	11	0.82	0.82	36%	36%	27%	45%	45%	40%	33%
15	Plateau United	11	1.64	1.45	55%	55%	27%	27%	18%	50%	60%
16	Ranchers Bees	9	0.89	1.56	56%	67%	22%	22%	22%	33%	67%
17	Rivers United	10	1.50	0.50	20%	40%	50%	60%	20%	17%	25%
18	Shooting Stars	13	1.38	1.31	54%	54%	23%	23%	38%	57%	50%
19	Sporting Lagos	10	1.40	1.30	50%	60%	30%	20%	30%	25%	67%
20	Warri Wolves	12	0.67	0.75	17%	33%	42%	42%	50%	17%	17%

Tap a column to sort · NPFL 2027/28 · 114 matches.

What the NPFL numbers say

NPFL matches average 2.39 goals. Over and under 2.5 are close to evenly split (42% over), with both teams scoring in 51%. Results: 58% home wins, 32% draws.

Team differences matter more than the average. Bendel Insurance matches go over 2.5 85% of the time, Warri Wolves matches only 17%; Rivers United keep a clean sheet in 60% of games. Pair two high-scoring sides and the grid shifts towards overs and BTTS; pair two tight ones and it shifts the other way.

Early in a season these percentages swing a lot, so treat them cautiously until ten or more rounds are played. The NPFL hub combines them with team ratings and market prices; graded picks go to the track record.

Frequently asked questions

What is the NPFL goals-per-match average?

2.39 from 114 matches; 42% went over 2.5 and 69% over 1.5.

What is the NPFL BTTS rate?

51% this season, highest for Bendel Insurance games at 77%.

Which NPFL team has the highest over 2.5 rate?

Bendel Insurance: 11/13 matches (85%).

Which NPFL team draws most often?

Barau FC, 7 in 12 (58%), against a league rate of 32%.