Lithuaniavs
Liechtenstein
Lithuania to win or draw: 93%. Chance 93%.
Match pageMonday 16 November: 20 double chance tips on the board, with an average chance of 81%. Strongest: Lithuania vs Liechtenstein, Lithuania or draw at 93%.
Two results in one bet (1X or X2), shown when the combined chance is high and the price is still worth taking. Sorted by probability; tap a match for its score grid.
Lithuania to win or draw: 93%. Chance 93%.
Match pageMarko avoid defeat 94% of the time. Marko form: DWLW (W2 D1 L1); Zakynthos arrive after a defeat (LDL). Chance 94%.
Match pageSenegal avoid defeat 89% of the time. Chance 89%.
Match pageGhana to win or draw: 89%. Chance 89%.
Match pageMonday 16 November: 20 tips with an average chance of 81%. The strongest still to play: Lithuania vs Liechtenstein (UEFA Nations League) – Lithuania or draw, 93%. Most tips come from Iran Azadegan League (5), Europe UEFA Nations League (5), Greece Super League 2 (3).
Double chance covers two results in one bet: 1X (home or draw), X2 (away or draw) or 12 (either team wins). Its chance is the two results added together.
1X on a home side wins if it wins or draws, and loses only if the visitors win.
It appears when the combined chance is high and the price is still at least 1.15. It suits teams that seldom lose but draw often, and leagues with high draw rates.
Each team's expected goals combine our attack and defence ratings, a statistical goals feed and the total implied by the bookmakers' goal line. From those two figures we give every scoreline a chance, and every market is built from the same table – which is why the result, goals and BTTS tips for one match never contradict each other. Fair odds are 1 ÷ chance; any price above them is marked as value. The whole process is on how it works, and the full tables are on score grids.
Prefer combinations? See accumulator bets, the banker of the day or all markets.
Double chance covers two of the three results in a single bet: 1X (home win or draw), X2 (away win or draw) or 12 (either team wins). You give up some price in exchange for winning more often, which makes it one of the most useful markets for steady singles and short accumulators.
It is simple addition. If the home win is 48% and the draw 27%, 1X is 75%. Fair odds are then 1 ÷ 0.75 = 1.33. Our tip is the combination with the best balance of chance and price, and it is only shown when the bookmaker odds are at least close to fair – double chance prices are short, so a small gap in price makes a big difference to value.
Covering two results means lower odds, often between 1.20 and 1.60. That is fine as a single if the chance beats the price, but piling five double chance legs into one slip quietly brings the risk back: five legs at 80% land only a third of the time. Two or three legs is plenty.
Both protect you from a draw, in different ways. Double chance wins on a draw; draw no bet refunds you. If the draw is likely, double chance is the better cover; if it is unlikely, draw no bet usually pays more for similar safety. Compare both prices before you choose.
Double chance settles on the 90-minute score. Extra time and penalties do not count. Every tip is graded and kept in the prediction archive. 18+.
An away team has a 44% chance to win, the draw 28%, the home side 28%. X2 therefore wins 72% of the time; fair odds 1.39. The away win alone has fair odds of 2.27. If the bookmaker offers 1.45 on X2 and 2.20 on the away win, X2 carries value (0.72 × 1.45 − 1 = +0.044) and the away win does not (0.44 × 2.20 − 1 = −0.032). The away side is the same team in both bets; the price decides which one is worth backing.
Is double chance allowed in accumulators? Yes, at almost every bookmaker – but not two double chance legs from the same match.
Does 12 settle on extra time? No. Like every market here, it settles on the 90-minute score.
By adding the two results it covers – home 47% + draw 26% makes 1X 73%.
It only makes sense when a draw is very unlikely, and then it is usually priced very short.
We estimate the goals each team should score from its attack and defence ratings and the bookmakers' prices, give every possible score a chance, and add up the scores that win the double chance bet. Tips are listed from the highest chance down.
How often a tip like this should win. At 70%, expect roughly seven winners and three losers from every ten.
On the Yesterday tab and in the prediction archive – every tip is settled on the 90-minute score and kept.
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