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Brazil · Serie A

Sao Paulo prediction

Tips by · Winning Arena analystModel refreshed 14 Nov 2026, 08:14 WAT · Every pick graded in the prediction archive
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Sao Paulo vs Fluminense prediction

Serie A Next match

Sao PaulovsFluminense

Our tipUnder 3.5
Odds1.28
Chance75%fair 1.33

2.53 expected goals keeps it under 3.5. 75% on our numbers. Sao Paulo form: DLD (W0 D2 L1); Fluminense arrive after a win (WWL). At 1.28 the price is under fair (1.34) – better as part of a slip than alone.

Match page

Sao Paulo in numbers

4-3-5W-D-L, last 12
0.9Scored per game
1.1Conceded per game
25%Over 2.5 goals
42%Both teams scored
33%Clean sheets
33%Failed to score
10th44 pts in the table

All competitions, 90-minute scores.

Sao Paulo in charts

Last 12 resultsscored conceded points per game (running)
v Atletico-MG 2–0, 5 Sep W @ Boca Juniors 0–1, 9 Sep L @ Palmeiras 0–2, 12 Sep L v Boca Juniors 1–1, 16 Sep D v Internacional 1–0, 20 Sep W v Santos 1–2, 3 Oct L @ Cruzeiro 0–2, 8 Oct L v Vitoria 2–1, 11 Oct W v Vasco DA Gama 1–0, 18 Oct W @ Mirassol 1–1, 24 Oct D @ Bahia 2–3, 29 Oct L v Corinthians 0–0, 5 Nov D

Recent results

5 NovSao Paulo v CorinthiansSerie A0–0D
29 OctBahia v Sao PauloSerie A3–2L
24 OctMirassol v Sao PauloSerie A1–1D
18 OctSao Paulo v Vasco DA GamaSerie A1–0W
11 OctSao Paulo v VitoriaSerie A2–1W
8 OctCruzeiro v Sao PauloSerie A2–0L
3 OctSao Paulo v SantosSerie A1–2L
20 SepSao Paulo v InternacionalSerie A1–0W
16 SepSao Paulo v Boca JuniorsCONMEBOL Sudamericana1–1D
12 SepPalmeiras v Sao PauloSerie A2–0L
9 SepBoca Juniors v Sao PauloCONMEBOL Sudamericana1–0L
5 SepSao Paulo v Atletico-MGSerie A2–0W

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo342374+4276
2Palmeiras3421103+3973
3Cruzeiro3418610+760
4Fluminense341699+1357
5Atletico Paranaense3415910+854
6Bahia3414119+553
7Atletico-MG3414812+450
8RB Bragantino3413813+547
9Santos34121111+147
10Sao Paulo3412814044
11Botafogo3411914-742
12Coritiba3411914-1142
13Vasco DA Gama3311814-741
14Mirassol34101014-940
15Vitoria3410816-1638
16Internacional3491114-438
17Corinthians3491015-637
18Gremio3491015-937
19Remo3461117-2029
20Chapecoense-sc334920-3521

How Winning Arena rates Sao Paulo

Each Sao Paulo fixture has a match model page with 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, the Poisson score grid, goal-line and BTTS figures and head-to-head history; major fixtures also get an xG preview and a graded review. Their last 12 matches averaged 2.0 total goals – a low-scoring pattern.

Browse today's predictions or the Pick of the Day.

Frequently asked questions

Who do Sao Paulo play next?

Sao Paulo play Fluminense at home in the Serie A on Friday 20 November at 01:30 (WAT). Model selection: Under 3.5 goals, 75%.

How have Sao Paulo played recently?

4-3-5 (W-D-L) in their last 12, with 0.9 goals for and 1.1 against per match.

Do Sao Paulo games go over 2.5?

25% of their last 12 did; both teams scored in 42%.

What is Sao Paulo's league position?

10th in the Serie A, 44 points from 34 matches.