Gimnasia Chivilcoy 2-2 Douglas Haig: Result v xG Model – Argentina Torneo Federal A
A 2–2 draw between Gimnasia Chivilcoy and Douglas Haig in the Argentina Torneo Federal A. Our selection, Under 2.5 goals, was wrong.
Argentina Torneo Federal A
Sun 15 Nov 2026
Full time
- λ home
- 0.95
- λ away
- 0.82
- Σλ total
- 1.77
- P(over 2.5)
- 30%
- P(BTTS)
- 48%
- Modal score
- 0–0 17.0%
Winning Arena tip · lostUnder 2.5 goals@ 1.4070%
Result versus model
Half-time: 1–0. 90 minutes: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 2–2 Douglas Haig. Pre-match, the draw was at 31%. Expected goals 1.77, actual goals 4.
Market-by-market grading
| Market | Selection | Probability | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 1 | 37% | ✗ Wrong |
| Double chance | 12 | 69% | ✗ Wrong |
| GG / NG | NG | 52% | ✗ Wrong |
| Over/under 1.5 | Over 1.5 | 55% | ✓ Correct |
| Over/under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70% | ✗ Wrong |
| Over/under 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 87% | ✗ Wrong |
Main selection Under 2.5 goals: wrong – it stays on the record with the rest. All graded picks: track record.
The xG preview · Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig match model · Today's predictions
A model probability is a probability, not a promise. 18+ · Bet responsibly.
