Double Chance Tips

Double Chance Tips for Friday 13 November: one market, several matches

Some of our slips stick to a single market – goals, both teams to score, double chance – instead of mixing everything. A market slip is easier to judge, because every leg is asking the same kind of question, and easier to learn from, because you can see whether that market suits you.

Why a one-market slip can be smarter

Mixing a home win, an over 2.5 and a BTTS in one slip means three different kinds of risk. A slip of three over 1.5 legs, by contrast, depends on one thing – goals – in three separate games. If you understand how a market behaves, a slip built on it plays to your strength. The market guides explain how each one settles.

How the legs are chosen

We take the strongest tips in that market for Friday 13 November, one per match, with each leg's chance and price shown. Very short legs are left out, and the slip shows the chance of all legs landing together. As always, every leg must win for the slip to pay.

A few market-specific tips

• Goals slips: the over side suffers when one game ends 0–0; spread across leagues with high scoring rates, which you can check on league statistics.
• BTTS slips: one clean sheet kills the slip – check that both teams in each leg score regularly away from home as well as at home.
• Double chance slips: the prices are short, so two or three legs is plenty.

Stake, record, review

Use a flat stake, log the slip in the bankroll tracker and, after a few weeks, compare markets in the prediction archive. You may find one market suits your eye far better than the others. 18+.

Worked example: an over 1.5 treble

Three over 1.5 legs at 1.30, 1.28 and 1.33, with our chances at 82%, 84% and 80%. Total odds: 1.30 × 1.28 × 1.33 = 2.21. Joint chance: 0.82 × 0.84 × 0.80 = 55.1%. Expected value: 0.551 × 2.21 − 1 = +0.22. Now check where the legs come from: if all three are in the same league on the same afternoon, one strange round – heavy rain, a cautious round of fixtures – can hit them together, so the true joint chance is a little lower than the simple multiplication suggests. Spreading across leagues keeps the legs closer to independent.

Market slip checklist

• One market, one question, several separate matches.
• League scoring rates checked for goals and BTTS legs.
• Joint chance compared with 1 ÷ total odds.

Quick answers

Can I mix two markets in one slip? Yes, but you lose the main advantage of a market slip – knowing exactly what kind of risk you are carrying.

Which market makes the steadiest slip? Double chance and over 1.5 win most often, but their short prices mean the edge must be checked carefully on every leg.

How many legs should a market slip have? Three is a good ceiling. Beyond that the joint chance falls quickly, even in steady markets, and one strange result in a single league can undo the whole slip.